UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his abilities are unlikely to be advancing. Mitrione gets the exceptional technique, power and durability standing that ought to see him with a sensible benefit. Kharitonov will be seeking to get down the fight but it will be difficult given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative start from both guys before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione in 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this struggle after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he’s had just one success because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks over his state the struggle seems to be lined overly wide. Ngannou clearly has huge stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the feet . If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he’s in trouble. Historically his style brings a whole lot of pressure to competitions but he is receptive to taking shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have paths to victory here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and discover an early KO. Cain will wish to avoid the early storm and seem to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what seems like a 50/50 fight going in. However, the winner of the struggle is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s inventory is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his run towards the top was impressive. Inside this matchup he’ll function as superior technical boxer with both the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a propensity to mimic his competitor but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the paths to success have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to use his very best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick to a gameplan and keep it in range. We like the line on Vick to cruise to victory with a medical decision.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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